Norden vs Kehlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 3
FFN
11%
18%
71%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BOE
1 - 3
FFN
18%
21%
60%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FFN
2 - 1
STE
79%
14%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FFN
8 - 0
JEU
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 4
FFN
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Kehlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
KEH
3 - 0
STE
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
KEH
1 - 1
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ATE
4 - 1
KEH
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
KEH
0 - 0
WIN
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ORA
1 - 0
KEH
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |