Norden vs Grevenmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FFN
0 - 9
DIF
9%
14%
77%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
UKT
1 - 4
FFN
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ERP
3 - 0
FFN
32%
23%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FFN
2 - 2
SWI
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
JEU
0 - 2
FFN
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
JEU
1 - 1
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
SWI
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
JEU
1 - 0
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 3
BBM
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
UME
1 - 2
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |