Feyenoord vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 2
FEY
23%
23%
53%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 2
FEY
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FEY
4 - 2
ADO
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
FEY
3 - 0
FCD
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 0
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 4
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
RKC
0 - 1
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HER
0 - 3
TWE
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |