Feyenoord vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
BVV
2 - 3
FEY
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
PSV
2 - 1
FEY
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
LSO
2 - 2
FEY
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 4
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FEY
0 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
14%
19%
67%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
RKC
1 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |