Eredivisie Round 4

Feyenoord vs Ajax analysis

Feyenoord Ajax
89 ELO 89
1% Tilt 23%
111º General ELO ranking 107º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.6%
Feyenoord
23.5%
Draw
38%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
Feyenoord
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38%
Win probability
Ajax
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Feyenoord
+8%
+1%
Ajax

Points and table prediction

Feyenoord
Their league position
Ajax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
10º
78
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
79
79
100%
Ajax
78
78
100%
Feyenoord
68
68
100%
Utrecht
64
64
100%
AZ Alkmaar
57
57
100%
Twente
54
54
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
51
51
100%
NEC Nijmegen
43
43
0%
Heerenveen
43
43
0%
PEC Zwolle
10º
41
41
10º
0%
Fortuna Sittard
11º
41
41
11º
0%
Sparta Rotterdam
12º
39
39
12º
0%
Groningen
13º
39
39
13º
0%
Heracles
14º
38
38
14º
100%
NAC Breda
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Willem II
16º
26
26
16º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Almere City
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Feyenoord
Ajax
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 100%
Champions League qualifying phase
100% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Feyenoord
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Feyenoord
Feyenoord
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 2
Feyenoord
FEY
36%
24%
41%
89 87 2 0
23 Oct. 2024
SLB
Benfica
1 - 3
Feyenoord
FEY
47%
22%
31%
89 89 0 0
19 Oct. 2024
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 5
Feyenoord
FEY
22%
22%
56%
89 83 6 0
06 Oct. 2024
FEY
Feyenoord
2 - 1
Twente
TWE
44%
24%
31%
89 89 0 0
02 Oct. 2024
GIR
Girona
2 - 3
Feyenoord
FEY
54%
21%
25%
89 91 2 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2024
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Willem II
WIL
62%
21%
18%
89 83 6 0
24 Oct. 2024
QAR
Qarabağ
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
17%
19%
65%
89 74 15 0
20 Oct. 2024
HER
Heracles
3 - 4
Ajax
AJA
17%
19%
64%
89 79 10 0
06 Oct. 2024
AJA
Ajax
3 - 1
Groningen
GRO
64%
20%
16%
89 82 7 0
03 Oct. 2024
SLP
Slavia Praha
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
29%
22%
49%
89 85 4 0