Feyenoord vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
3º
10º
3º
78
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UTR
0 - 2
FEY
36%
24%
41%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SLB
1 - 3
FEY
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GAE
1 - 5
FEY
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FEY
2 - 1
TWE
44%
24%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
GIR
2 - 3
FEY
54%
21%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 3
AJA
17%
19%
65%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HER
3 - 4
AJA
17%
19%
64%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 1
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |