KNVB Beker Semi-finals

Feyenoord vs Ajax analysis

Feyenoord Ajax
84 ELO 88
7.8% Tilt 25%
109º General ELO ranking 103º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.3%
Feyenoord
23.7%
Draw
44%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
Feyenoord
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44%
Win probability
Ajax
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Feyenoord
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Feyenoord
Feyenoord
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2019
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
63%
20%
17%
84 89 5 0
17 Feb. 2019
GRO
Groningen
1 - 0
Feyenoord
FEY
15%
20%
66%
85 73 12 -1
09 Feb. 2019
FEY
Feyenoord
4 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
77%
15%
8%
84 64 20 +1
03 Feb. 2019
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
11%
17%
72%
85 66 19 -1
27 Jan. 2019
FEY
Feyenoord
6 - 2
Ajax
AJA
28%
23%
49%
84 88 4 +1

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2019
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 5
Ajax
AJA
10%
17%
73%
87 70 17 0
17 Feb. 2019
AJA
Ajax
5 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
85%
11%
4%
87 65 22 0
13 Feb. 2019
AJA
Ajax
1 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
23%
22%
56%
87 93 6 0
09 Feb. 2019
HER
Heracles
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
12%
18%
70%
88 70 18 -1
02 Feb. 2019
AJA
Ajax
6 - 0
VVV Venlo
VVV
79%
14%
7%
87 74 13 +1