Ferrymead Bays vs South City Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
51.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHR
0 - 0
FER
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FER
4 - 0
MOS
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
CAS
5%
10%
86%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
FER
94%
5%
1%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
CHR
13%
16%
71%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
South City Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
COA
1 - 0
SCR
32%
22%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 4
CHR
30%
21%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 2
SCR
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 2
SCR
90%
8%
3%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SCR
5 - 0
GIA
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |