Ferroviarios vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UCE
3 - 2
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
ROC
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UTC
2 - 0
FER
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
IMB
0 - 0
DEP
65%
20%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UTC
1 - 1
IMB
34%
27%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 0
ESP
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MUS
0 - 2
IMB
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
IMB
2 - 1
EME
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |