Ferroviário vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 1
FER
78%
16%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 0
FER
18%
21%
62%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
HOR
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
5 - 0
UNI
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAU
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
GUA
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |