Ferroviário vs Itapaje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
UNI
5 - 1
FER
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
NOV
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FER
4 - 2
AME
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 2
FER
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Itapaje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 0
NOV
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ITA
5 - 1
BAR
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
AME
1 - 3
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
CRA
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 3
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |