Ferroviário vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
FER
4 - 2
GUA
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
FER
0 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2005 |
ICA
1 - 0
FER
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2005 |
FER
4 - 2
UNI
78%
14%
7%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 3
CEA
16%
21%
64%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
CEA
2 - 1
TIR
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
CEA
2 - 0
LIM
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CEA
0 - 4
UNI
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | -1 |