Ferroviário Nacala vs FC Chibuto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
29.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
FEN
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 1
LIG
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
FEN
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
COS
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
HCB
3 - 1
FEN
47%
30%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Chibuto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 0
IDX
44%
29%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 1
FER
47%
29%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SCN
1 - 0
FCC
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
FCC
2 - 0
LIG
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
MAX
1 - 0
FCC
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |