Ferroviário Nacala vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
FEN
42%
31%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
FEN
0 - 0
FER
43%
31%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DMA
0 - 1
FEN
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
FEN
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 0
IDX
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MAX
0 - 0
COS
30%
30%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
LIG
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BDP
2 - 3
COS
26%
32%
43%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
COS
2 - 1
FER
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
TEX
0 - 2
COS
16%
31%
52%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |