Ferroviário Maputo vs Ferroviário Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 0
FER
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
FER
33%
32%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
FER
3 - 0
FER
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FER
3 - 2
TEX
53%
27%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
FER
40%
31%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FEN
3 - 2
DMA
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 0
FEN
51%
28%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 1
FER
36%
31%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
FEN
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
FER
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |