Ferroviária vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
SAO
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IND
0 - 5
FER
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SLB
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATP
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SCI
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |