Ferroviária vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
FER
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
AGU
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
MAT
45%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
0 - 2
SAN
27%
27%
47%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAU
61%
20%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 2
GUA
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
1 - 0
PAU
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -2 |