Ferroviária vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
2 - 1
FER
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FER
7 - 1
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
OES
1 - 0
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
NOV
33%
24%
44%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 6
NOV
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 3
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |