Ferroviária vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 3
FER
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
SAN
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 3
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
ITU
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
COR
2 - 0
ITU
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |