Ferroviária vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 1
FER
20%
26%
55%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
VOT
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
CIA
0 - 0
FER
26%
31%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
CIA
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 2
COM
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
LIN
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
VOT
1 - 2
COM
56%
24%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DES
3 - 2
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
DES
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |