Ferroviária vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PPE
2 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
XVD
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
XVD
2 - 0
FER
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 2
ASA
10%
18%
73%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
ASA
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ASA
3 - 1
CEO
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
ASA
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 1
GUA
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |