Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.8%
69.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
INA
2 - 1
FEP
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FEP
0 - 0
ROS
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 1
FEP
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FEP
1 - 0
PET
12%
22%
66%
|
15 | 63 | 48 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
BER
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
JVU
2 - 2
IND
8%
20%
72%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
INA
1 - 0
IND
10%
23%
67%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
IND
6 - 0
ROS
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 11 | 58 | 0 |