Ferro General Pico vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
FER
3 - 2
AGR
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 0
FER
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
CGB
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
DFR
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
FER
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
ALV
32%
31%
38%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CGB
4 - 0
RIV
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
DFR
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
AGR
3 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
FER
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |