Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
FER
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
EST
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 3
FER
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
MOR
42%
30%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 0
FER
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
IRV
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAI
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 3
ALM
25%
29%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALV
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |