Ferriolense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FLN
0 - 0
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FER
0 - 3
SDF
12%
21%
67%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
IBI
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SRF
3 - 0
FER
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
MLL
9%
17%
75%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
MER
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 1
MER
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
SNF
38%
26%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
MER
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |