Ferriolense vs UD Collerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SLL
2 - 0
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
MNC
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SNF
4 - 0
FER
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
ALC
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ESP
3 - 3
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CLL
1 - 2
SLL
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SRF
3 - 1
CLL
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CLL
0 - 2
IBI
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FLN
1 - 0
CLL
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CLL
0 - 2
PBL
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -1 |