Oberliga Hessen Round 5

Fernwald vs Vellmar analysis

Fernwald Vellmar
28 ELO 24
-9.6% Tilt -5.7%
4728º General ELO ranking 14729º
216º Country ELO ranking 631º
ELO win probability
54.3%
Fernwald
22.9%
Draw
22.8%
Vellmar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
Fernwald
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.8%
Win probability
Vellmar
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fernwald
-2%
-20%
Vellmar

ELO progression

Fernwald
Vellmar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fernwald
Fernwald
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2006
FER
Fernwald
3 - 0
Bernbach
SVB
55%
23%
22%
27 23 4 0
11 Aug. 2006
WAL
Waldgirmes
0 - 0
Fernwald
FER
65%
20%
15%
27 34 7 0
04 Aug. 2006
FER
Fernwald
3 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
47%
24%
30%
26 24 2 +1
27 May. 2006
FER
Fernwald
2 - 1
Waldgirmes
WAL
27%
25%
48%
25 35 10 +1
20 May. 2006
HES
Hessen Kassel
2 - 2
Fernwald
FER
79%
14%
7%
25 42 17 0

Matches

Vellmar
Vellmar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2006
KKA
Klein-Karben
5 - 0
Vellmar
VEL
55%
24%
21%
25 28 3 0
12 Aug. 2006
VEL
Vellmar
0 - 2
Borussia Fulda
FUL
22%
24%
54%
26 42 16 -1
05 Aug. 2006
WUR
Würges
1 - 3
Vellmar
VEL
59%
20%
21%
25 25 0 +1
25 May. 2006
ERZ
Erzhausen
2 - 2
Vellmar
VEL
52%
24%
23%
26 26 0 -1
20 May. 2006
BAU
KSV Baunatal
2 - 0
Vellmar
VEL
50%
24%
26%
27 25 2 -1