Fernwald vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
8º
17º
8º
40
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RWW
3 - 0
FER
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
BAY
42%
22%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 3
FER
23%
21%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
VIK
74%
14%
11%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FER
1 - 4
FCH
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 0
DIE
54%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 0
FCE
43%
23%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HSC
4 - 0
WAL
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 0
WAL
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 1
RWW
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |