Fernwald vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
WAL
2 - 4
FER
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
FER
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FER
3 - 1
URB
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 3
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FER
3 - 2
ESC
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
WUR
1 - 2
BUC
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
WUR
1 - 3
DAR
64%
21%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HUN
0 - 3
WUR
54%
22%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
WAL
0 - 2
WUR
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VEL
3 - 0
WUR
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |