Fernwald vs Lohfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
GOR
1 - 1
FER
43%
27%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
FER
1 - 0
WOR
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
BUC
1 - 2
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FER
5 - 0
EIW
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
FER
1 - 2
VIK
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lohfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
LOH
0 - 3
VIK
34%
26%
41%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
KKA
3 - 2
LOH
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LOH
1 - 1
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
WEH
4 - 4
LOH
64%
20%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LOH
2 - 1
BAU
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |