Paulista B Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Fernandópolis vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 1
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
FER
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FER
3 - 2
SAO
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 1
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 4
ITA
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MFC
1 - 0
RIO
22%
21%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
RIO
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |