Fernandópolis vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
AND
2 - 4
FER
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
BEB
43%
27%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAT
6 - 1
FER
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
PEN
20%
23%
56%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
FER
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
BEB
22%
25%
53%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
CAT
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 1
AME
76%
17%
7%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
AND
3 - 1
AME
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
FER
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +2 |