Fermana vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
58.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ASG
0 - 1
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
UAR
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FAN
0 - 1
FER
32%
29%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
REG
18%
25%
58%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
VIC
0 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
IMO
0 - 3
VIC
26%
27%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 1
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 1
VIC
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 1
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |