Fermana vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
PES
4 - 2
FER
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
FER
1 - 2
BRE
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 0
FER
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
NAP
4 - 0
FER
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
FER
0 - 0
PIS
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
TRE
3 - 1
ASS
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
FCS
1 - 0
TRE
21%
26%
54%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
COS
0 - 1
TRE
40%
26%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
TRE
2 - 1
CES
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ATL
3 - 2
TRE
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |