Fermana vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
USF
2 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
FER
0 - 2
BEN
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PAT
1 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
FER
2 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
FER
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 0
SOR
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 0
VIR
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 1
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
USF
0 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 0
TAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |