Serie D Group F Round 12

Fermana vs Sora analysis

Fermana Sora
48 ELO 46
-16% Tilt -14.4%
5062º General ELO ranking 5115º
176º Country ELO ranking 180º
ELO win probability
45.6%
Fermana
25%
Draw
29.3%
Sora

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
Fermana
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.3%
Win probability
Sora
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fermana
-35%
+11%
Sora

Points and table prediction

Fermana
Their league position
Sora
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
18º
18º
40
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sambenedettese
72
72
100%
L'Aquila
62
62
100%
Teramo
60
60
100%
Chieti
58
59
100%
FC Fossombrone
50
50
100%
Ancona
47
47
100%
Avezzano
46
46
100%
Castelfidardo Calcio
45
45
100%
ASD Atletico Ascoli
43
43
100%
Vigor Senigallia
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Termoli Calcio
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Sora
13º
40
40
12º
0%
Recanatese
12º
40
40
13º
0%
SN Notaresco 2018
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Civitanovese
15º
37
37
15º
100%
Roma City
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Isernia
17º
34
34
17º
100%
Fermana
18º
27
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fermana
Sora
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Fermana
Sora
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fermana
Fermana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2024
BFM
FC Fossombrone
2 - 0
Fermana
FER
43%
26%
31%
49 48 1 0
03 Nov. 2024
FER
Fermana
1 - 1
Teramo
TER
35%
27%
39%
49 51 2 0
27 Oct. 2024
RCF
Roma City
1 - 0
Fermana
FER
44%
25%
31%
49 48 1 0
23 Oct. 2024
FER
Fermana
1 - 1
Chieti
CHI
50%
26%
24%
49 48 1 0
20 Oct. 2024
SAN
SN Notaresco 2018
2 - 1
Fermana
FER
23%
26%
51%
50 41 9 -1

Matches

Sora
Sora
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2024
SOR
Sora
0 - 0
Termoli Calcio
TER
51%
24%
25%
45 44 1 0
03 Nov. 2024
SOR
Sora
1 - 1
Chieti
CHI
45%
26%
29%
45 50 5 0
27 Oct. 2024
TER
Teramo
3 - 0
Sora
SOR
50%
24%
26%
46 51 5 -1
23 Oct. 2024
SOR
Sora
3 - 4
Isernia
ISE
63%
20%
17%
46 31 15 0
20 Oct. 2024
VSU
Vigor Senigallia
0 - 1
Sora
SOR
54%
22%
24%
45 48 3 +1