Fermana vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
FER
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FER
3 - 0
AMI
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
JES
1 - 1
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
CIV
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 2
FER
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
REC
1 - 1
GIU
51%
25%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
JES
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SSS
4 - 0
REC
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
REC
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
REC
1 - 1
MAC
22%
26%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |