Fermana vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 1
FER
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
CIV
57%
22%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
RCA
0 - 1
FER
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FER
1 - 3
TER
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 0
FER
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 3
TER
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ISE
0 - 3
MAT
21%
22%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 2
FAN
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
REC
1 - 2
MAT
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
3 - 3
GIU
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |