Fermana vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 2
FER
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FER
2 - 2
SSS
31%
29%
40%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FER
2 - 0
TER
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FCC
3 - 0
FER
61%
24%
16%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FER
2 - 0
LAQ
53%
26%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
BEN
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
CRO
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
CRO
4 - 0
VIR
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIS
2 - 1
CRO
37%
29%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FCC
3 - 2
CRO
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |