Ferlach vs Griffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
MIC
1 - 2
FLC
22%
24%
55%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
TRE
3 - 3
FLC
44%
24%
31%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
FLC
1 - 0
SCL
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
FCW
1 - 0
FLC
11%
20%
69%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FLC
1 - 2
SVV
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Griffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GRI
1 - 2
TRE
25%
24%
50%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SCL
2 - 0
GRI
31%
25%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GRI
1 - 2
FCW
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SVV
2 - 2
GRI
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GRI
0 - 0
SCL
14%
21%
65%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |