Ferlach vs Feldkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FLC
3 - 4
DIG
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MIC
2 - 2
FLC
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FLC
2 - 1
BLE
61%
19%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
TRE
3 - 0
FLC
59%
20%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FLC
6 - 1
WOL
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Feldkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
FEL
4 - 1
KLA
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
FEL
1 - 6
GMD
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MSA
3 - 0
FEL
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MIC
3 - 2
FEL
29%
23%
49%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
FEL
2 - 1
TRE
16%
18%
67%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |