Ferlach vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MIC
2 - 2
FLC
10%
16%
74%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FLC
2 - 0
KAC
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 3
FLC
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FLC
2 - 2
WOL
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KMD
2 - 2
FLC
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
KAC
3 - 2
BLE
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BLE
0 - 2
WOL
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SVJ
2 - 1
BLE
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BLE
0 - 0
KLA
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
SPI
1 - 0
BLE
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |