Feralpisalò vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 2
FER
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 4
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 1
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAR
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MOD
2 - 0
FRA
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MOD
2 - 5
PES
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |