Union Brescia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
TRI
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 0
FER
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
VIS
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LEG
1 - 1
FER
15%
22%
64%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FER
3 - 0
RAV
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 0
MAT
64%
23%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PRG
3 - 0
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PAD
2 - 0
VIR
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
CES
0 - 2
PAD
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
PAD
84%
12%
4%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |