Fénix vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 2
FEN
34%
28%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 0
FEN
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 1
FEN
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
FEN
4 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FEN
2 - 2
BVS
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 1
COB
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 0
FEN
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 0
DLS
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCH
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 0
USF
69%
18%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |