Europa League Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 2-3
Fenerbahçe vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
FEN
2 - 3
BUR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
LIL
2 - 1
FEN
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 2
FEN
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
BUR
3 - 1
FEN
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 1
DIY
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
REN
1 - 2
LIL
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
LIL
2 - 1
FEN
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 1
USB
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 0
LEN
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |