Europa League Quarter-finals

Global 3-1

Fenerbahçe vs Lazio analysis

Fenerbahçe Lazio
86 ELO 86
5.4% Tilt 3%
198º General ELO ranking 17º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49%
Fenerbahçe
24.5%
Draw
26.6%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
Fenerbahçe
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
26.6%
Win probability
Lazio
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fenerbahçe
+5%
-2%
Lazio

ELO progression

Fenerbahçe
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2013
FEN
Fenerbahçe
2 - 0
Akhisar Belediyespor
AKB
75%
17%
8%
86 69 17 0
17 Mar. 2013
ANT
Antalyaspor
1 - 2
Fenerbahçe
FEN
34%
25%
41%
86 78 8 0
14 Mar. 2013
FEN
Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Viktoria Plzeň
VKP
55%
23%
22%
86 85 1 0
10 Mar. 2013
FEN
Fenerbahçe
4 - 1
Bursaspor
BUR
65%
20%
15%
86 80 6 0
07 Mar. 2013
VKP
Viktoria Plzeň
0 - 1
Fenerbahçe
FEN
48%
24%
29%
86 84 2 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2013
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Catania
CAT
59%
23%
18%
87 82 5 0
17 Mar. 2013
TOR
Torino
1 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
25%
26%
49%
87 77 10 0
14 Mar. 2013
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
45%
25%
30%
87 86 1 0
10 Mar. 2013
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
55%
25%
21%
87 85 2 0
07 Mar. 2013
STU
Stuttgart
0 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
46%
25%
29%
86 86 0 +1