Fenerbahçe vs Fatih Karagümrük analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
9º
2º
51
7º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
2º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 40 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
AEK
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BJK
0 - 0
FEN
29%
25%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
5 - 0
ALA
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
REN
2 - 2
FEN
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 1
DYN
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 2
IST
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
FAT
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 1
GIR
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SIV
0 - 0
FAT
41%
28%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
4 - 1
ANK
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |