Fenerbahçe vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
KAY
0 - 1
FEN
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 2
AKB
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 2
FEN
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BJK
3 - 2
FEN
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
MFK
1 - 1
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |