Felgueiras 1932 vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
6º
3º
9
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 24 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 23 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 23 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 19 |
5º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 11 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 10 |
8º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
29% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
FEL
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 0
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEL
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 1
ALV
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 1
ACA
44%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 1
LUS
52%
25%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |