Liga de Honra - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 3-1
Feirense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEI
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 1
VIL
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
FEI
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 0
UDL
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
FEI
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEI
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 2
ALV
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 2
BRA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
LUS
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |